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Will Events Like Hurricane Otis Become More Common?

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Damage from Hurricane Otis at the Mexican port of Acapulco
Damage from Hurricane Otis at the Mexican port of Acapulco.

Hurricanes can sometimes undergo rapid intensification, which by definition is an intensification of 35 knots, or 40 miles per hour, in a 24-hour window. To give a sense of how fast this intensification is, 35 knots is the difference between a Category 1 hurricane and a Category 3 hurricane. Extreme rapid intensification can be particularly dangerous, especially if the rapid intensification occurs right before landfall, since there is not much time to evacuate coastal areas that are at risk for weather-related hazards.

Unfortunately, just last week, Hurricane Otis did just this, as Otis achieved Category 5 intensity right before it made landfall near Acapulco, Mexico. Otis had one of the most extreme intensification rates ever observed…

Visit Columbia News to read the full op-ed.

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Collage of Turkiye beach scene and Columbia University Campus with text: UN Climate Change Conference COP31, Antalya, Turkiye, Nov 9-20, 2026

COP31, the 2026 United Nations Climate Change Conference, aims to advance dialogue, strengthen consensus, and accelerate climate action on a global scale. From November 9–20, 2026 in Antalya, Türkiye, heads of state, ministers, scientists, business leaders, and civil society will gather to advance efforts in emission targets, climate finance, and adaptation and resilience. Once again, our experts, students, and global thought leaders from Columbia Climate School and across Columbia University are contributing to key events, sharing insights, and helping shape the dialogue toward ambitious, science-based solutions. Learn More

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